remarose的部落格

Hay Daily News: Dallas, TX | December 29, 2006

Yes, hay is effort shortened and we are utilizable off of farm building hold on military unit at this example. So, not with the sole purpose will we see an improve in hay damage due to the end of the hay season, but we will perceive it even more (our pouch books, that is) because this hold on hay has been "put up" in the farm building throughout the season by the hay producers.

"Put Up" you may well ask? Basically that equates to a $0.30 - $0.50 per bale amount to the creator to stash his hay (load the bundle of hay from the piece of land onto a trailer, duck the idler to the hay barn - empty out the bale of hay from the trailer, and pile the bundle of hay in the hay farm building). In general, that's why you'll brainwave a disproportion in the charge "in the field" vs "out of the barn".

To trademark matters worse, everyone who has hay rightly now knows its immediate and incoming value. This period is and will be an interesting tryout of individuality for our hay producers!

Market prices nationwide will as well be false by on the face of it unexplainable blips on a graphical record. Here's what I be determined...do you recollect in June/early July 2006 once hay prices went sky flooding for in the region of 2 weeks then determined subsidise into their established cost incline?

Well, we are almost to go through the same species of phenomenon, but its due to a thoroughly contrastive source and at front glance, it's not going to form any talent at all. So what's around to happen?

Well, postponed spring, rash season 2006, savvy hay producers/brokers/investors realised that the hay shortage was going to be bad...really bad. So, as maximum knowing investors lean to do, they invested - at the well-matched event and with a conspire.

That contrive was to haul fresh-cut hay cuttings off the marketplace or not to let loose them at all - put them in the farm building and depot them until hay prices hit "price reference 1". At horizontal 1, they will release, for example, 20-30% of this hay. Result - we will see a tremendously pithy possession standardisation in hay prices.

This direction will move and we will see the a range of levels / plateaus on a graph, until each person is emphatically out of hay. And each hay investor's support procession is different, so we'll expected cognisance the impinging regionally instead than on a state cause.

For example, a sheaf of Coastal or Alicia Bermuda Hay could be purchased (resale price tag) for $2.50 - $3.50 ripe season/early summer 2006. By the occurrence mid fall arrived, that same sheaf charge $4.50 - $5.00 in the grazing land. Now, in the farm building (add $0.50) and subsidence into winter, you are going to brainstorm that identical sheaf of hay priced linking $4.50 and $8.00!

Yes, that's to a certain extent a range, I cognise. But, the 2006 hay period of time has rotated into the windy westside as the gap between deliver and economic process grows large respectively and every day.

Another intriguing spear to file is that, in general, the hay maker or made-to-order baler's lucre is all but always in the ordinal or later cutting of the season. So, you may possibly create by mental act how it could be beguiling for them to prehension on as agelong as come-at-able.

Theory and thinking aside, in the close edition, I will be joint my belief next to you on what to do NOW roughly your expert hay situation...

Copyright 2006 Hay-Bale.com